Can a Triple Crown Winner Race Again the Next Year

The 2021 Kentucky Derby winner, Medina Spirit, was barred from the Belmont, and the Preakness champion, Rombauer, may not be the favorite.

The Belmont Stakes on June 5 may have everything but a clear favorite.
Credit... Patrick Smith/Getty Images

One equus caballus won the Kentucky Derby and at present faces disqualification (perhaps) and banishment (definitely). That would make a second equus caballus the new winner. A third horse won the Preakness.

And so at that place is last year'due south ii-year-onetime champion, who lost equally the Derby favorite this month, and a filly who has been chirapsia every challenger among her gender and now may exist set up to take on all comers.

It has already been a wild Triple Crown year, and at present many of the meridian horses will meet again in the Belmont Stakes on June five. Who's going to be at that place? And more than important, who'due south likely to win?

To first, the most newsworthy 3-year-sometime this yr, Medina Spirit, will not run in the Belmont after he and his trainer, Bob Baffert, were barred from entering the race on Monday among a doping investigation.

The ban, announced by New York racing officials, means that neither Baffert, a Hall of Fame trainer, nor whatever of his horses will be allowed on the grounds of New York racetracks, a blow not only to Baffert merely likewise to the wealthy horse owners who employ him because of import and lucrative races — like the summer's Travers Stakes at Saratoga and other events — are run on New York tracks. The ban extends to Baffert's assistants every bit well.

Medina Spirit'south half-length victory in the Derby was cast into shadow within a week when a positive examination for betamethsone, a banned corticosteroid that is injected into joints to reduce pain and swelling, was revealed. The results of testing on a second sample — which could pb to Medina Spirit's losing his win — are still weeks away, and appeals could follow, and then nosotros will probably know the Preakness and Belmont champions long before nosotros know the (official) winner of the Kentucky Derby.

When Medina Spirit finished 3rd in the Preakness on Saturday, many in the racing world, at to the lowest degree those who didn't have a bet on him, breathed a sigh of relief. The Derby's event may be tied up in appeals for months, or even years, as happened in 1968 when Dancer's Image tested positive. But the Triple Crown volition not be, since now no ane can win information technology this year.

The equus caballus that would inherit the Derby win, Mandaloun, skipped the Preakness and won't run in the Belmont, either. But the field for that race is notwithstanding expected to be large, strong and counterbalanced.

It starts with Rombauer, who won the Preakness. 1 might expect him to be the favorite in the Belmont, since he will exist the only horse in the field with a Triple Crown win, but that may not exist the case.

Rombauer was an 11-1 shot in the Preakness, coming off a third-identify finish in the Blue Grass Stakes, and bettors are not likely to be convinced that he has suddenly become the best 3-yr-old in the land. Rombauer won't exist 11-one over again in New York, simply lingering doubts and the depth of the field are likely to proceed his odds higher than expected, peradventure 5-1 or and so.

Quite a few others are also looking as if they volition state in the range of v-one, making the Belmont, the longest of the Triple Crown races, a truthful handicapper'south challenge.

Essential Quality was the 2-yr-quondam champion concluding year after winning at the Breeders' Cup, and he arrived at the Derby undefeated and the favorite. His quaternary-place finish in Kentucky was disappointing, but the Derby often humbles great horses. Essential Quality skipped the Preakness for some balance and will be formidable in the Belmont: It's worth noting that in his final race earlier the Derby he won the Blue Grass, beating Rombauer.

Malathaat is the best filly in the state, a perfect v-for-five subsequently winning the Kentucky Oaks a day before the Derby. Fillies seldom contest the Triple Crown races, whether because of ingrained sexism or because in that location are plenty of lucrative races for their own gender. Just when they practise, they take shown they tin win it. Swiss Skydiver won the Preakness last year, and the most recent colt to win the Belmont was Rags to Riches in 2007.

As well likely to contend in the Belmont are Hot Rod Charlie, the third-place finisher in the Derby, and Rebel's Romance, who won the U.A.E. Derby in March.

But as this month has shown, a lot can happen in 3 weeks.

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Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/17/sports/horse-racing/belmont-picks-triple-crown.html

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